Is The Wireless Internet Not Ready For Prime Time? 177
RabidMonkey asks: "As an employee at a high speed wireless ISP which has gone into receivership (Maxlink communications Inc), I've begun to wonder: Is there actually a big enough market for Wireless Internet access? After reading that Look Communications is cutting 300 of its staff and looking for a buyer, I'm a little skeptical. I'm wondering if there are any other big wireless service providers that are doing well out there, and if they are, what are they doing differently? What are the different technologies in use? Why do these ventures seem to be failing?" With the majority of users still connecting to the internet via phone lines and cable modems and DSL finally catching on, is it too soon to expect wireless systems to be successful in anything more than niche markets?
"I think that the technology and the need are there for this, but why does it fail? I know that our rates are very competitive, installation is the industry standard (free) and our customer service is good. And the same goes for Look. Two companies with good technology that failed. Is it just not the right time?"
Don't confuse 3G & fixed wireless (Score:1)
Howdy slashdotters,
I think a number of respondents are confusing the much hyped 3G mobile IP wireless communications with the broadband fixed wireless IP solution that Maxlink was offering.
What Maxlink were trying to sell was access to the internet to people like my self who do not live in a major metropolitan area. I live in the rural mid-west. It is impossible to get ISDN/DSL/Cable broadband access. In fact in most of America these services are not available and will never be available (DSL only works up to a few thousand meters from the exchange). The access is not mobile. It requires an antennae on the top of your house precisly aligned with the base station, with an ethernet feed to your computers/internet devices. I think a major part of Maxlinks business plan was also to muscle in on the voice revenue that the local phone companies monopolize via VOIP. It sounds like a lucrative business. Any idea why if failed? Bad management, bad technology (are there any Maxlink users out there that can comment)?
the answer is so damn obvious (Score:1)
The internet (today's internet, anyway) was designed for a 17 inch 16-bit color monitor at 800x600, not a 1 inch monochrome dot-matrix display. I have yet to try browsing/email on Palm, if that's good then perhaps that will be the savior of wireless (or plugging the laptop into the cell phone), but internet on cell phones has struck me as one of the stupidest ideas I have ever encountered since the first time I heard of it.
Re:Wireless will remain a niche, but a growing one (Score:2)
FCC fines will start putting wireless ISP's using 2.4GHz out of buisness when the band starts getting clogged and they have to hammer down.
Re:Just starting in the UK (Score:2)
The UK is interesting because of the relationship between BT, the cable companies and all the other phone companies. BT is moving as slow as possible in rolling out ADSL (it's only just become available in the last couple of months), and the cable companies are largely ineffective in providing cable modem access (largely thanks to the rapid consolidation in the industry, and the problems in integrating the different networks, I suspect). In the past 24 hours, however, the telecoms regulator, OFTEL, has started to put pressure [guardianunlimited.co.uk] on BT to speed up the unbundling of the local loop, which could change things dramatically.
Anyway, the point being, the telecoms landscape in the UK makes it difficult to get high speed (and consumer level cost) internet access over fixed wire. Hence, options such as the service provided by tele2 are interesting. Or the grass roots consume.net [consume.net], or others.
If BT was playing nicely, it wouldn't be necessary, but they may end up shooting themselves in the foot.
No complaints there.
...j
Since I'm considering starting a WISP (Score:2)
I've been considereing starting a wireless ISP for a while. Here is my perspective:
When a customers looks at internet they want it to work. The default is a modem, which works. Slow, but it works, most people start with it, and soon grow tired of the lack of speed.
When they want to upgrade speed the havce several options: ISDN, DSL, Wireless, satalite, cable modem, in order of theoretical speed. However cost varies. In general ISDN is the most expensive, (maybe wireless is more depending on what I want my profit to be). Satalite is avaiable anywhere, but latency is bad. Web only users will love it though. DSL and ISDN are the only unshared system, which makes it hard to compre speed. Cable and DSL are only avaiable in a few places and you can't be sure of getting it. Satalite and wireless are affected by weather. In theory wireless allows roaming - great if you want to use your laptop under a shade tree.
Where I live with one of the biggest ISDN tarrifs in the nation. ($60/month just for the line, plus ISP charges) DSL is not even in the plans. (My ISDN line is run from a switch at least 30 miles away, appearently with amps along the way, no wonder it is so expensive). Cable isn't in the plans, and the company isn't trusted even if it was - a lot of houses here have DSS dishs and have dropped cable. Perfect for wireless. (Unfortunatly the city has substadised T1s to local buisness for non-isp use, so a large crop of money is unavaiable to me)
right now wireless is undergoing the upgrade from 2mbs to 11. Once the faster radios are stable it is ready. Links of 20 miles are achived all the time with wireless, without repeaters. Normally though smaller cells are desirable.
Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:1)
Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:1)
Why Wireless Wanes. (Score:1)
1) Infastructure. Most wireless services I'm aware of require quite a few receiving towers scattered around a relatively small area (Say, a valley 20m by 14m). Even the ones using microwave need several to cover something that small. Those towers are definately NOT CHEAP. And the funny thing is that the physical construction isn't even the majority of the cost. Running a fat enough connection to the tower to handle its users will cost both your testicles and your right arm in zoning costs and permits.
2) Limited user base. For several reasons, the potential user base for wireless communications is significantly limited compared to cable, DSL, or phone service. How many people reading this message live in a dwelling that they own? How many live in an apartment building with restrictive rules about what they can do? The place I'm living now won't let me put a dish on the roof, and that's the only way I can get wireless. Unles my complex installs something for me and becomes my ISP, I'm stuck (And just for the record, they're not going to do that. I can't even get 56k in this place. They split phone lines into 32k chunks to save construction costs.)
3) Cost. Half of the people I work with use "free" ISPs. They won't shell out even $20 a month for an Internet feed, let alone $50-$100. And NO wireless company can live on $20 a month.
So in conclusion, we're going to see a major shakedown and hard times ahead for wireless companies. Some may survive, and once they start expanding, they should do extremely well. Until that time, there is nothing anyone can do.
Some problems... (Score:1)
The Rest Of The World Will Use This, Not US (Score:2)
In the US, so long as it is slower, more complicated and more costly, wireless Internet will be nothing more than a curiosity. We have the worlds most dependable phone system. We don't really NEED wireless, regardless of how much the idea appeals to a significant minority.
This is one of the main reasons that the US always seems so 'behind' in these things. Other countries embrace and run with cellular/wireless communications because their existing services are a.) too complicated and expensive (Japan) or b.) of a tech level barely above the Iron Age (China/Eastern Europe).
VENTURE Capitalism (Score:2)
Backbone vs. access (Score:2)
Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:3)
There's a good article on TCP in the latest IP Journal that covers TCP over wireless, see www.cisco.com and search for IPJ. Issues are downloadable or you can sign up.
wireless isp != roving wireless (Score:1)
If you are asking the question "Why isn't technology not succeding against xDSL or cable modem?" Then the answer is to strip off all occurences of xDSL/cable modem/wireless from the propaganda and then tabulate the features. Most consumers don't know don't care what they are using to get net access. They are asking questions like:
How much does it cost?
How fast is it?
That's it. There are of course additional considerations like having to put up a dish/antenna for wireless stuff but that's a side issue. Now if the comparison comes up that wireless costs $10 more per month then it loses. Simple isn't it? (Oddly enough, most of the wireless providers require a separate ISP, that pushes their cost up another 20 bucks usually. )
Most people don't know jack shit about wireless stuff can be snooped on (no worse than cable stuff). People on /. who say "I would examine their technology first" have absolutely zero affect on a wireless isp. Sorry to deflate your ego but if people like you actually had a lot of influence then AOL would not be AOL.
For the examples I gave above, gainwireless is failing (for non-businesses) because it is damn expensive. (Personally I don't think they care that they are not popular with non-businesses). The uswest(?) option is succeeding however, mostly because the existing phone lines and such are ultra cheap here and stuff is somewhat spread out so the actual number of people who can get xDSL is limited. Cable is also not doing well because they are morons.
Rant: I've been here a damn long time, longer than my 4 digit id would indicate since I didn't actually get an account until rob put in "features" that made my reading /. easier. But back to the rant, the reason that I feel /. is so dammned messed up is because of...
* The questions to begin with are vague. If you wish to start a discussion then you must focus it. E.g., you need to state that you are comparing wireless to xDSL and that you are not talking about sticking wireless access onto your laptop so that you can read /. while you crap.
* People skim and start spewing. The best way to help this is to better state the question. Perhaps put a one sentence summary in huge ass bold so that if you miss it then you are clearly a moron.
* The people who post the question in the first place are rather sloppy. This is your chance to get a huge audience. State your questions clearly if you want it answered. O.w. you get what you ask for.
Wire! Huh! What's it good for? Absolutely nothing! (Score:2)
I've gotta say that most of what I've heard about the "wireless web" is deep into gee-whiz just-because-we-can territory and real short on actual usefulness. Grotesquely truncated web pages on the tiny screen on my cell phone? Pass. Net access while I'm driving? Stupid. Check the latest stock quotes if I bring my PDA out on a date? Whatever. Maybe some people dig that stuff, but I suspect that's a permanent niche market.
Wireless access is not a bad idea inside buildings. It's probably of dubious value for desktop machines in a 600-desk cube farm, but it'd be nice to be able to use my laptop for net access down in the cafeteria or in conference rooms without trifling with cables. Having spent the weekend stringing Cat-5 in my WWII-era not-even-electrically-grounded house, I'd much rather plug in a wireless hub and be done with it. Maybe then I could browse the web while I'm on the can, or whatever it is they expect people to do with webpads.
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Re:WTF?? (Score:1)
I have heard of local parties laying they're own cable, but other than that wireless is the only solution.
Joe
Wireless vs Cabled Internet (Score:1)
If I had a laptop, that might be different and it might be something I'd be after, but I think the number of people that are interested enough to want to 'get the internet' (or those that have it already) and of THOSE the ones who are interested in getting *wireless* access for their PDA, laptop etc. is a much smaller margin than 'regular' ISPs target. I myself am very happy with dialup access at home and a T1 at work. I would like to have DSL at home instead of the dialup, but that's not wireless either. Laptops and devices larger than PDAs would have become cheaper and more useful (in terms of battery life) for me to want to consider it.
That's just how I feel about it anyway.. I've never felt the need to change, and I've been playing with the internet for a while now.
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Fucking cummunist (Score:2)
Re:Soon, but not yet (Score:1)
Is the author referring to "wireless" as "companion to cellular/PCS/digital phone service?" Or is the author referring to "wireless" as "high-speed or broadband service delivered without wires?"
I've been a user of SpeedChoice (now Sprint Broadband) for about a year and a half. Sure, the MMDS connection has its problems compared to DSL or cable, but it has one *distinct* advantage: I don't have to deal with US West (now Qwest) or Cox Communications, two of the least customer-friendly corporations in the world, staffed with the most incredibly inept personnel.
US West (now Qwest) was the deciding factor in my realization that unions exist to insure that stupid people have jobs, too.
In going with a wireless service, I don't have to deal with the fact that US West went *decades* without upgrading their physical plant (I'm in Arizona) and has yet to discover that wrapping copper in something called "insulation" will prevent increased line noise during a rainstorm.
In addition, nobody offers DSL or cable in my current location, and in all probability will *not* offer such for at least another two years.
As such, Sprint's Broadband Wireless service is *perfect* for me.
Re:Why wireless isn't happening (Score:1)
Violence in places like the Balkans and Rwanda is not racial. The Serbs and friends are the same race: they have the same skin tone, speak the same language and wear the same clothes. Tutsi's and Hutu's are less similar, but still show fewer differences than, say, the Polish and English.
When you see people in the third world shooting their neighbors, it's mainly just because they enjoy it and not because there are any real differences.
Sometimes there are religious differences too, but since the religions in question all frown on slaughtering your neighbors, chances are that the participants aren't all that religious.
--Shoeboy
Re:Black on black violence etc. (Score:1)
Historically the majority of violent acts have been perpetrated by one racial group against another very similar one
Yeah, that's because you have to travel a lot further to wage war against a visibly dissimilar racial group.
With the current spate of violence in the Congo (a continuation of the Rwanda ethnic violence in many ways) being just one example of similar racial groups embroiled in bitter conflict.
Te use of "racial" is problematic since "race" simply means a group of people sharing a common ancestry. So a "racial conflict" can be anything from a family feud to the second world war. Again, it's more unlikely that you'd get racial conflicts between dissimilar groups because of logistics.
In a similar vein, black on black violence in America has reached endemic levels, with such cases outstripping other kinds of violence. For some reason it seems as though people are more disposed to hate those that appear superficially similar but aren't actually the same than they do those that are markedly different.
No, it's much simpler than this mysterious hatred of yours. If you're going to indulge yourself in a bit of recreational rape, murder and pillage (preferably in that order), you'll pick someone who's not too far away (thus probably racially similar) yet not close enough that you'll run into their surviving relatives at church. Presto, instant "racial" conflict between peoples that an outsider can't tell apart.
--Shoeboy
WTF?? (Score:2)
Wouldn't want it for my house - I don't see why a land line isn't appropriate for a box that's too big to move.
Wouldn't want wireless access on a hand held device - they don't have the cpu, screen or memory to be useful. That should change, but when market penetration is sufficient to support broadband wireless is anyone's guess.
Don't need it for my laptop - I can usually connect to a land line when I need to sync with the office and don't need to transfer anything too big.
It looks like the only market for wireless net access is mobile users who need more bandwidth than can be provided by a 56k modem and/or can't depend on being able to dial in.
The big question is why anyone would have invested in broadband wireless before a use was found.
--Shoeboy
Re:Wireless still needs infrastructure (Score:1)
I think it is a chicken and egg issue, you can't address one aspect without addressing the others(technology, poverty, democracy e.t.c).
I'd LOVE wireless (Score:1)
One ISP offers wireless in my area. This is great. However, at $1000 install and $200/month for their lowest level of service (256k) I'm probably not going to bite.
They think they are competing with dedicated connections like frames and T1s, not the cable and DSL crowd. The problem as I see it is that anyone whose looking for a fractional/full T1 who would consider wireless would probably opt for a cheaper cable/DSL connection (home users, small business etc.).
Those who would buy a wireless connection at those rates probably wouldn't mind getting the real deal for a little more and not worry about wirelesses pitfalls.
I think these guys will fail if they don't figure that out.
TCP & Wireless explained, plus more. (Score:2)
One: This one I've seen personally and studied a bit. In wireless connections where the wireless MAC does not do any sort of reliable delivery (in other words, frames can get lost, and the radio units don't know it). This might be due to say, radio noise (and the design of the radio mac layer, of course). Say there is a 5% packet loss due to noise. TCP will continually back down because it was designed to assume all packet loss was due to network congestion.
Two: largely assymetric connections. You know.. stuff like lots of the 'wireless cable' stuff where the outgoing goes over landline and the return path is over radio, TCP can get confused (by confused, I mean it will attempt to back off to dela iwth congestion that's not there, etc). I'm not up on this too much, but noticed many research papers out there on this topic while looking into point number one (a while ago).
The real reason wireless ISP's as they are called, have failed, and this is from hearing from techies inside the companies, is simply a lack of knowledge about both wiress & the INternet in general (as separate entities).
Most large-scale wireless operations using MMDS and such (do I have the right acronym? I mean all that 'wireless cable' shit) that fail or are failing are failing because those running them underestimated, or simply did not understand, the business they were getting in to.
THe second reason might be that, although wireless is pretty cool, it can't compete with cable & DSL. IN urban areas, these are just too easy to set up by comparison.
FOr example... I can think of one small city (80,000 people) who had no dsl, no cable.. because there was no competition. Then LOOK announced it's plans. Bang. Instant cable & DSL, with look nowhere in sight. IT's too much setup time.
Although... (Score:2)
Well then.. (Score:2)
OSI layer 2, the data link layer ensures that there are no duplicates and that transmission is error free (dropping a packet *is* considered an error). It's designed to guarantee that it makes it across the underlying physical medium intact.
Think about it. If Layer 4 (Transport) is supposed to do this, why does ethernet bother with collision detection? I mean, you think that should be dealt with at a higher layer, no?
The fact is, layer 2 is supposed to make sure that a message is delivered to another layer 2 device.. and it DOES, if you look at ethernet. Where packets get dropped is at a router, or something that can't process them fast enough, and that's where tcp comes in.
TCP is designed around the premise that any packet loss is due to congestion. Therefore, any packet loss for any OTHER reason, and it doesn't deal with it well. It gets very SLOW if you have a constant packet loss, as it keeps slowing down.
There are many research papers out there on the topic. Look for one by Hari Balikrishna, it was his PH.D thesis from Berkeley, I believe. Good paper about using tcp in half-duplex wireless networks that covers a lot of these issues.
Also... several current wireless offerings have reliable delivery mechanisms, and what the hell are you talking about, most tcp/ip neworks over wireless only ever use UDP? I sure as heck think the wireless connection to my office building uses a lot more than that, as do the thousands of other clients out there with wireless access.
If you want to verify this, rig up a router with linux or something to drop every 100th frame (inducing artificial 1% packet loss) and watch how badly tcp deals with it. Then try it at 2%, etc. You may be surprised what happens.
Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:2)
Infrastructure, change, and adoption (Score:1)
The 4th generation wireless devices will be powerful, high bandwith (up to 2Mbps), XML-based, and, sorry CmdTaco, run Java. It's not time to bail, it's time to rethink your target.
Sprint Broadband Direct (Score:2)
http://www.sprintbroadband.com [sprintbroadband.com]
Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:2)
Asking the wrong question (Score:2)
The problem, the computer explained, is that nobody figured out what the question was.
Wireless is the same way. You've calculate that the answer is "wireless", and you haven't figured out what the question is. I've noticed other posters have been describing AirPort/802.11, HomeRF, Bluetooth, CDMA, and 3G, though none of these services has the slightest relation to the wireless you are talking about.
The problem with maxlink is that nobody wants a wireless ISP -- they just want a normal ISP. They don't care if the ISP uses a wire or not. There are some cases (Ricochet, CDMA) where ROVING is important (and then wireless is natural). The question with maxlink is: is it a good ISP? If you are asking if it is a good wireless ISP, then you are asking the wrong question.
You may be concerned that customers might be afraid of adopting wireless technologies vs. traditional technologies. Again, that really isn't the question. Customers are afraid of unproven technologies. If you were using some weird wired scheme, then customers would still be afraid. For example, some companies are dropping fiber to the home. Most customers will stick with the proven older DSL rather than take the risk of unproven fiber. In other words, customers might be afraid of your technology, but it isn't because it is "wireless", only because it is different.
BTW, a lot of wireless technologies can easily be sniffed (eavesdropped, wiretapped), despite assurances by vendors. I wouldn't use it unless I was able to thoroughly review the technology.
Wireless is Overrated (Score:1)
Wireless net access is a cool concept. The problem is that most people could care less. If I'm at work, I can surf via my desktop machine. Same thing at home. When I'm away from the office, I don't want to get e-mail, voicemail, or even phone calls. I only give out my cell phone number to friends and family.
Wireless is definately overrated. Why limit yourself to low-bandwidth, small-screen devices when you can use a real PC to connect to the net. I'm sure that business travellers would disagree with me, but most of them carry laptops and can get land-line access to the net.
One of these days, wireless might take off, but I'm not going to hold my breath. There are too many hurdles to get past right now.
Re:Several Reasons I See (Score:1)
As for the wearable, it's a 486sx class machine, 66mhz. I'm currently using an M1 display from www.tekgear.ca I intend to use a new CPU core (similar, but lower power and with pcmcia support) at some time (when i can afford it mainly), and eventually use a different display solution. I want to move to a head mounted camera and a video overlay character generator going to something like the sony glasstron if i can manage it. I'm also playing with the idea of using a dallas semiconductor TINI board for something, idunno what though...
Several Reasons I See (Score:2)
Most of these services only cover places that are very densely populated, but ignore the fact that those places are very radio-wave unfriendly, with lots of gorunded steel structures everywhere.
Also a lot of them try to force you into a proprietary browser/client/driver/etc... I think if people can't use _all_ of their normal software they won't do it. Another thing is that the bandwidth charges are astronomical. Sometimes up to $1/meg for some of the services, or they will charge you cellphone rates per minute "connected" even when you are on a digital section of network...
I'm looking forward to the 802.11 from my local ISP because the bandwidth charges are going to be the same as for wired connections, and he has hired a bunch of progammers to write drivers for windows, linux, etc... for a tunneled secure protocol to keep sniffers off. It ought to be cool =:-)
Re:why look "failed" (Score:1)
On top of that, they cut my service for too much bandwidth usage (unlimited
We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us.
Re:Not quite correct (Score:1)
You're talking 2.4GHz
We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us.
Re:Maxlink Business Model is really bad. Contact u (Score:1)
We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us.
Re:Wireless will remain a niche, but a growing one (Score:1)
We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us.
To Clarify the technology and usage (Score:1)
The service is offered as a competiter to Fibre/Cable/ADSL (Bell, Rogers and Bell in Toronto).
Our primary market are areas not serviced directly by fibre etc, or where its very expensive. The backend network is all ATM, which allows varying bitrates easily.
We use all Alcatel and Cicso gear
We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us.
Re:Maxlink Business Model is really bad. Contact u (Score:1)
We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us.
Re:Wireless will happen (Score:2)
Come on. Think logically, not emotionally. Business works on logic. Emotions never made a business a dime.
To squash the competition, they have to beat them. To beat them, they need to sell more. To sell more, they have to offer something that consumers will like better. Consumers are always the end judges that make or break a new company. They have the right to buy whatever they want. Power to people, man!
There is ALWAYS a financial reason to innovate. Innovation means you can offer more to the customer. See above.
As long as a company stays private (or is majority held by one entity), they can't be bought out. It will be their choice to be bought out. Power to the little guys!
The best part about the wireless revolution is that there will be very little regulation. The prime reason we have telco regulation today is because it is a sanctioned monopoly. Only one telco gets to bring copper to your house, so regulations ensure that competitors can get to that copper and the consumer isn't held hostage. Anyone can bring wireless to your house. No need for regulation!
Wireless will happen (Score:3)
The reason wireless "last mile" internet will happen is simple: competition.
Nowadays, the only options are DSL, cable, ISDN, or analog dial-up. Most people are lucky to have 2 out of the 4 and they all suck in their own unique ways. Analog dial-up is just slow, ISDN is still too slow and too costly. DSL and cable are the only ones to provide sufficient bandwidth for reasonable $, but they have little legs. Their days are numbered, especially DSL, since they have horrible bandwidth/distance restrictions.
Now imagine that you are a new company that wants to offer service and get a subscriber base. You are really faced with only two choices today: buy a cable company or resell DSL. Buying a cable company is a hell of a proposition and most companies aren't going to be willing to take the plunge. If you resell DSL, someone else is holding your balls (be it Covad, Northpoint, etc). Sure, you could install your own DSL equipment, but when faced with that cost, you might as well buy a cable company. Even if you go this path, you are still subject to the phone company's whims. If your little company doesn't controll its own destiny, how can it be sure to compete?
Competition is severely limited by our current technology. The magic bullet to that is wireless. The technology isn't there yet, but wireless systems are potentially cheaper to implement and faster to deploy. Cheap and fast are the key words. It means a small company could put up a single receiver in a neighborhood, be operational in a matter of weeks, and grow from there. They don't have to bury lines, deal with Telco's that move at a snail's pace, and deal with endless gov't regulations (most are needed for monopoly-busting, but not needed in wireless since there is no monopoly). In other words, they deal directly with their customers, realizing all of the profits and controlling their own quality levels.
As a consumer, I want choices. Right now, my choice is between the cable company that sucks or the DSL reseller that sucks. I would jump at the chance to be able to choose between a few different wireless providers in my neighborhood.
I also feel that the technological hurdles left to jump are nothing compared to the potential market. In other words, there is too much money to be made to let something as simple as "its not technologically possible" to get in our way. We will find a way, we always have in the past.
Re:Tele2 (Score:1)
-Max (sysadmin TELE2 UK)
Wireless is actually relatively cheap for the ISPs (Score:1)
-avi
Re:WTF?? (Score:1)
Until people learnt to use them, which took years, and until the net came, some 15 years later, how useful were they ?
Even now there is a question as to how much these devices have improved productivity. There have been a number of articles in The Economist and a very good one in the current New Yorker about this.
As for wireless net access, the uses are, as you say, dubious, but one day they will become important. Personally I quite like SMS and am looking forward to the day when I have an integrated PDA, GPS and phone on me. But I accept that until the 3G networks come up it won't be useable.
Re:Cell phones popular in the 3rd world (Score:1)
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Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:2)
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Re:Wireless networking: Always a niche (Score:1)
The 957 has the same screen size as the Palm, but BETTER resolutions. The 950 is half that size, but even with that, it is still large enough to read comfortably.
As for which are better, I know from my experiences in this emerging (consumer wireless) industry that all the product offerings lack badly in some way or another.
Blackberry != Phone
Palm + Omnisky == Blackberry - nice email
handspring == palm
iPaq != wireless
WAP Phone != Uasability + Email + Everythign else.
The only hope is to either to modularly seperate the wireless protocol aspect from the handheld, or to make a unified wireless protocol.
Both of these seem VERY unlikely in North Amarica.
Re:Issues (Score:1)
Re:WTF?? (Score:1)
I can get a cable modem, but we're familiar with the problems that presents. And I don't want to give money to AT&T.
Services like Ricochet provide ISDN speeds for under $100 a month. The portability is great if you have a laptop and travel. And if you move frequently, you don't have to wait around for a new install and pay the setup charges...just take your modem with you and you're set.
Network Computing has a good review of Ricochet. [networkcomputing.com]
Re:WTF?? (Score:1)
The 'problems' I refer to with cable modems are the peer nature of it, so that when all your neighbors hop online, your bandwidth suffers. Further, there are all the usually sneaky restrictions they keep throwing in on cable modem service. Read the gripe line on InfoWorld.
I don't consider having an objection to paying a monopolistic company money to be weird. And I wasn't bitching about not having access to broadband. Only stating that even if you live in a populated area, your choices are limited, and Ricochet provides another choice.
Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:2)
AX.25 is a variant of LAP-B, the X.25 layer 2 protocol. It is optimized for 300-1200 bps local links only, and if I felt like wasting the space, I could recite a litany of what's wrong with it. Indeed, AX.25 is even prone to congestion collapse, because it lacks even the most basic congestion control mechanisms. Been there, done that, back in the 1980s, on 2-meter amateur packet radio (both "raw" AX.25 and TCP/IP over AX.25, which btw usually used "unassured" mode, which worked better).
It is indeed possible to design a wireless subnetwork/datalink protocol that compensates for the problems of wireless. But AX.25 ain't it. I'm somewhat embarassed when I see commercial products still attempting to use it, although it's workable for the simple one-hop mobile dispatch application.
Re:WTF?? (Score:1)
Re:Ricochet (Score:1)
I would like to see Ricochet's price at $30/mo, it would save me a couple bucks. But they are still in the middle of a huge network build out. Although there network uses the un-lincsenced ISM band and a new microcell technology they have been able to build there network at a fairly low cost.
A report from Adventis compares all 3G cellular technologies (Report can be found at http://www.ricochet.com/ricochet_advantage/resourc e_center/3g_comp_rev.pdf).
The report makes the choice clear for wireless data between now and 2005.
Re:Why wireless isn't happening (Score:2)
Many of these 'places like Africa' you talk about don't even have electricity, and you want to give them PDAs? To turn them into global capitalist countries brought to compete against such noble adversaries as China and the USA?
Dude, you got a strange set of priorities. Try living in the real world, sometimes.
It's a business model problem (Score:3)
What's happening to the wireless companies is the same thing that's happening to all the dot-coms: the venture capitals are getting fed up with seeing their money thrown to the winds, and they're starting to demand return on their investments.
From a commercial point of view, wireless is perfectly viable. It can be marketed and sold no problem. But the companies that are trying to build these are the same ones that lived on venture money for two years. It's the venture capitalist's fault, really: they bought into the hype so much, they gave away money without thinking.
Regardless of technological problems (there's always technological problems, and you just have to throw manpower at them), what you need is a vision and a business model.
Until these companies stop acting like teenagers getting free lunch money from their benevolent parents, and start planning ahead, keeping their growth in synch with their vision of the market, and constructing intelligent, sensible business approaches and revenue models, the thing is never gonna get off the ground.
It seems to me all those hip CEOs who managed to live off somebody else's money for the duration of the Internet business boom are trying to do so again by throwing in the word 'wireless'. Well, tough luck, guys. The investors are up to your game.
Re:Not quite correct (Score:1)
Matt Barnson
Not quite correct (Score:2)
You are *almost* correct saying that if you can't see the antenna, you can't get great service. If there is a large hill in the way, you are sunk. If it's a small hill or houses, trees, etc. that is no problem at all for 2.4GHz wireless at sufficient wattage. Just sticking an unamplified PCMCIA card on your computer, though, you are certainly right; it has barely enough power to make it through the walls of your house out to a few hundred feet.
I'd have to agree, maintaining a big antenna would stink. My ISP stuck a 20 foot antenna on the roof of their building; they are uphill from most of town, but not enormously so. Works great.
Matt Barnson
Re:Wireless will remain a niche, but a growing one (Score:2)
802.11 latency is typically 10ms, usually 3-5ms. 30ms would be a worst-case scenario; the WaveLAN card uses a collision avoidance algorithm. Latency to the rest of the world depends on your ISP; I regularly get game time pings of less than 100ms.
Matt Barnson
Wireless will remain a niche, but a growing one. (Score:5)
The good:
1. Wireless is easy to install. If you are close enough to your nearest access point, just pop in a pcmcia card with a pigtail, install drivers, and you're done.
2. Wireless is extremely reliable. The link itself basically never goes down. The only times I've had a bad signal to noise ratio are when I screwed up my internal wiring to my antenna and during very high winds.
3. Wireless is very fast. At up to 11Mb/sec, it's one of the fastest access methods available in the price range.
4. Wireless is cheap for the ISP. Initial setup cost for your ISP is lower than some comparable technologies (DSL particularly). They can hook up 30 customers to each access point using the same frequency-hopping spectrum, and add cheap additional hardware for each new group of 30 customers.
5. Wireless is cross-platform. Many drivers are free software.
The bad:
1. Wireless can be very complicated to troubleshoot. It's easy for the customer to screw up their link; when something flakes out, it is often tough to tell whether it is you or your provider.
2. Wireless is very expensive for the consumer. While setup costs for people very close to an access node is relatively small (less than $250 for the card and pigtail), costs range up to $1000 for people further away.
3. Wireless can be very slow. 802.11 is designed to slow the link as the signal to noise ratio drops. You may connect as slowly as 64Kb/sec.
4. Wireless can be tough to install. Setting up my link involved several hours of attic and drill time.
5. Wireless competes in common frequency ranges, and has the usual problems with radio transmissions. As the so-called "medical band" (2.4GHz) becomes more cluttered, you're going to notice higher packet loss and latency, conflicts with cordless phones, etc. Also, hills, trees, and bridges can all interfere with your line-of-sight to your ISP's antenna.
6. Wireless has trouble scaling over distance. Your ISP will need a repeater every mile or three in order to broaden their service. DSL and cable have other, similar costs, such as upgrading local loops.
My take? I believe wireless is a great technology, and will continue to enjoy a strong and growing *large* niche market. I know I love mine : )
Matt Barnson
Serial port (Score:1)
http://www.siig.com/usb/usb_plus_serial_adapter.ht ml
As for the usefulness of wireless access, how about those many millions of people who have crappy, overloaded, filtered phone lines that won't support DSL? How about my parents, who have said crappy phone lines and are too far out in the sticks to get cable? That leaves only satellite, which is going to be here Real Soon Now.
Re:Large spaces, few people (Score:1)
I might be seeing a skewed view, since I'm in Brisbane, not Sydney or Melbourne, but I see no wireless data of any real significance in Australia. At this time, the only viable wireless data choice is 9600 baud over GSM.
For those who are interested, here is how I see the Australian data situation:
Australia has two mobile network technologies (GSM and CDMA) and two major telcos (Telstra and Optus - there are a bunch of smaller ones as well.) WAP is currently only supported on GSM, and there are few WAP phones available (I have tried most of them, and they are all crap.) There are no analog phone networks remaining. Digital phone coverage is mostly pretty good. In home data, DSL only started rolling out in August of this year, and the Cable network is not expanding (although this could have changed recently.) Cheap cable charges are around AUS$70 per month with some form of bandwidth or usage cap. DSL was supposed to be around AUS$100 per month, but that might change depending on the current bunfight between Telstra and the ACCC.
I don't think too much should be read into the deployments of 802.11. Universities are putting in 802.11 networks to avoid cabling costs. Small companies will most likely do the same. They're all doing it to run their existing applications on laptops. In the long term, this is the same business model as for current networks - I buy equipment and deploy for my private network. I'd expect it to be dominated by the incumbents (Cisco et al).
This gets to my big issue with Wireless.... What's the application? Okay, so I've got a data pipe that goes with me... what do I want to do with it? Now, once I find an application, where's the money in it for a provider? Until I see an application that both really meets a consumer problem/desire *and* has a believable revenue model I don't feel that wireless is going anywhere. This is true regardless of the market.
I was at CTIA recently in Santa Clara, and it seemed to me that the US wireless "boom" has been fed by companies giving roving salesmen PDAs and using wireless data networks to access their E-mail from these PDAs. Of course, people attending CTIA are again a biased sample! For at least the Bay area, there would be sufficient size in this market to support some providers. I don't see such a critical mass forming in Australia, or if it does, it'll be in Sydney only.
Re:It's a business model problem (Score:1)
I would love to get fixed wireless broadband (Score:1)
I live in a moderately large city (metro area pop. > 1 million) in a modern neighborhood (house was new in late 1993). I cannot get ADSL from my telco - I have been requesting it over and over for the last two years. I could get cable internet access, but I have checked with those who have tried it in my area and it totally sucks.
The telco will not provision my area with the equipment necessary to provide ADSL. I cannot understand why. It is a densly housed, well-to-do neighborhood with over 200 houses.
I have heard that the same cable company does provide decent internet service in other areas of the city, but they haven't yet upgraded the facilities in my area, so they give inferior service at the same prices. I refuse to subscribe.
So, wireless would be extremely attractive, to me.
Look Communications has other issues... (Score:1)
Hardware Issues (Score:1)
Cheap hardware like this doesn't exist but when it does I think its then we will see an explosion in wireless demands.
You can argue than WinCE, PalmOS, etc. can do this now but I would disagree. I want something that can do everything my desktop can do with little or no sacrifice. Wouldn't it be great to have a pen based webpad sized machine, playing mp3z, streaming video, downloading Q3 all while you are doing your 'work' under a tree out on the lawn? Now do all that for 10 hours straight.. Thats what I want.
Tele2 (Score:1)
There is a european company called Tele2 [tele2.co.uk] which is currently rolling out wireless DSL in the UK and in europe as well. The UK version uses a licensed setion of the 3.6 GHz to 4.2 GHz spectrum. Network architecture is regional central access nodes with backbone connection and microwave links to more local "Tele2 Access Nodes".
Quote from the site :
"Superior Security
The Tele2 network has been designed to provide maximum security. Originally designed for secure military operations, the system uses the latest spread spectrum CDMA (Code Division Multiple Access) and frequency hopping radio technology."
On the users end the antenna plug into a LAN router type of thing, with an ethernet connection for the LAN/PC.
Up to 150Kbps both ways, supports linux (basically supports anything that does TCP/IP), coverage is currently only 4 cities, major expansion in Q1 2000, residential version £9.99 per month (on trial), buisness ones £39.99. Loads of adverts at the moment on local radio and stuff.
WAP Usability Report: "painful experience" (Score:2)
However, the WAP Usability Report [nngroup.com] which you can purchase for download from useit.com [useit.com] (which is an excellent site for learning how to write good websites) says that people just don't like WAP.
From the report summary:
The other thing folks might want to do with wireless is get on the net from a laptop while they're out and about, but I don't think that's as big a potential business as it might sound. It's hard to use a laptop standing up and you can't really carry one with you all the time like you can a cell phone.Michael D. Crawford
GoingWare Inc
Cell phones popular in the 3rd world (Score:2)
In many third-world nations, the fraction of the population that have cell phones out of all phone owners is higher than in industrialized nations for this very reason.
Michael D. Crawford
GoingWare Inc
Re:Why wireless isn't happening (Score:1)
----------------------------
Re:WTF?? (Score:2)
Where I live (just south of Houston), I can't get cablemodem access and I can't get DSL.
Exactly!!!!
I'm in the same boat. I live on the fringe of a large metropolitan area in a semi-rural area on a 2 acre lot. I'm about 1/2 mile from the cable provider (so I get DSS TV) and my local telco is not in any big hurry to wire up my CO for DSL since it is a much better investment for them to go for the higher population density areas first.
Therefore, for your market, look to the fringe where they are not.
The key hurdle for me and most other consumers is cost. If wireless net access gives me significantly more speed than ~33kb/56kb and does not cost more than say $60/month, then I'm game. But, so far as I can tell, the charges for wireless net access are higher than that, putting it out of my reach and limiting your market size.
High bw and reasonably low latency (hard, I know) would be a real boon for me - I'd start looking into using VoIP for long distance
Wireless is extremely reliable. (Score:1)
Name of Company (Score:1)
Ricochet (Score:2)
Oh, and while I'm whining, how about the cellular plans, that let you use your cell phone with a data jack to surf under your regular plan? Those would be great, too, except the dumbasses who designed the data links used a fricking serial port, which my laptop doesn't (and never will) have! It's USB or nuthin' bay bee.
Now, you've probably guessed by now that I have been trying to find a good way to get wireless internet access, and you're right. But the fact is, I'm not going to sign up for a service that is too expensive, too cumbersome, and/or too redundant with my current internet service. Hope you providers out there are reading this right now, I'm curious what you think...
From the Wide Open Spaces (Score:1)
Nate
re: Large spaces, few people (Score:1)
Re:It's a business model problem (Score:1)
One of my clients is a wireless company (which also happens to be based out of Ontario), and they are only targeting the business market, where there is no qualm about paying $500-700/mo for the equivalent of a T1. They have been extremely successful.
If you look at how successful technology has been introduced in the past, first you build up your infrastructure with the high-paying customers, and once that is in place, then you go after the residential market.
Re:TCP/IP Not Right? (Score:1)
UMTS? (Score:2)
you better believe it (Score:1)
Yeah, that's right. Name a single prosperous country on earth that is not at least nominally capitalist and democratic.
Sure, much of Europe is pretty socialist, and of course also much of it has double digit unemployment and a failing currency, but there are still major capitalist elements, and it's still moderately prosperous. Anywhere else I can think of that is in the same wealth neighborhood is even more capitalist.
As for the democratic part, again, countries that do not at least elect most of their representatives are not successful. Whether it's a parliament, an American-like congress, or what have you, I can't think of a single industrialized nation that is not governed by elected representatives.
So I didn't mean that they had to establish a libertarian capitalist society governed by a pure, classical Athens style democracy, but they can't be governed by fascist dictators and become sucessful.
Wireless still needs infrastructure (Score:3)
Maybe, once these african countries start getting the majority of their population into urban centers, we can talk about the best way to wire them up, but as it stands there's just too damn much area and not enough people packed close enough together. I think you're going about it ass backwards. First they establish stable capitalist democracies, then they start wiring up an expensive information infrastructure. When you've got a country with a GDP per capita below $5,000 (or $10,000 even), you have got much more pressing concerns than obtaining a fast net connection.
I used a wireless ISP... (Score:1)
The equipment they used looked like all off-the-shelf wireless networking stuff you could find in the Black Box cataloge. Some of the equipment was mfr. by them though.
Their setup was a small box (router running one of the BSD's) at my home that had two nic's. One went into my ether hub, the other went into the wireless radio (slightly bigger than a pack of cigarettes). A cable from the radio went out to an antanne on my porch. The antenna was no bigger than those small digital satellite TV dishes. The antanne was pointed to the nearest router which, in my case, was the one on top of their office building!
All of the IP traffic was 3DES encrypted from radio (repeater) to radio (my home), and they also used spread spectrum which if you are not familiar with, frequency hops like every half second or something to that effect. What's best is it operated in a free band.
If you want their service, and things are like they used to be, good luck. They told me they turned down on the order of 60 requests for service a day because they just couldn't set them up fast enough.
Update: I just checked their site, and it looks like they just got pretty expensive, oh well.. it was good while it lasted.
Re:Asking the wrong question (Score:1)
For the unsavvy tech consumer (those people using AOL and iMacs), until DSL, or fiber comes preconfigured with the internet connection device (like a computer or PS2) and their houses come preconfigured with whatever hardware is necessary (like DSL jacks intsead of plain phone jacks, or fiber optics outlets/connections in the walls, etc.), they'll stick with phone lines, because they need to have it all spoonfed to them (PlugNPlay). Basically, until broadband is about as easy as hooking up a TV, those people will not switch.
However, I'm not sure that complexity is an issue for wireless, which is why I think it has the most potential. What could be easier than simply plugging a wireless modem into your computer and connecting? The problem with wireless is not simplicity, but the dearth of companies out there who are selling it to the average ISP consumer, which also means that the cost is out of line with current services.
To sum up: service is key, complexity is a block for only about half the market, and technology is not scary.
Wireless? Yes. WAP? No. (Score:1)
------------------------------------------
The biggest reason for wireless... (Score:1)
Even if you order DSL through a CLEC, you're still using a Baby Bell telephone system for which DSL is a huge hack (and a limited one at that). As wonderful as I've found DSL to be, many people are out of range, subject to artifacts of the legacy phone network, or in some way unable to get DSL.
Cable modems use a backbone designed for broadcast services, and limit your choice of ISP to your local cable company (If they can't get TV right, what makes us think they can do 'net access?)
A well planned wireless deployment bears an infrastructure designed from the ground up to distribute data. Reinforced with redundancy, it should also overcome availability issues.
Most importantly, with a wireless connection, you're not as likely to have 3-5 companies making money off just the last few miles of your connection, which should make a significant difference in price once infrastructure is established.
In a word, No. (Score:1)
could be because of the requirements... (Score:1)
Ricochet (Score:1)
Why? (Score:1)
Wireless is bound to be FUCKING HUGE one day, it will be as ubiquitous as radio. Hopefully sooner. The problem with companies like Look is that they are entering a market that isn't quite ready for prime time. The hardware for wireless laptops and palm devices or cell phones is just around the corner for widespread usage.
High speed wireless is the answer to the goddamn phone companies and cable companies (even though I have no real beef with my cable provider)
Poor Planning and Leadership? (Score:2)
The first problem is there are no real sys admins or network techs. It's mainly RF guys. Everytime we've had a problem of not being able to get out they send an RF guy with a laptop to check the signal, but not the network! We get the same reply "it's goin' from this antenna to that one so it's working, must be you computer" Finally after much frustration they realized our crapply lucent router died.
I've also found out we've had bandwith restrictions put on, because their backbont is only a T-1 and can't handle much more from it's current customers, I've been told a DS3 will be put in, but that was 5 months ago and nothing, they advertised a gauranteed 2.5Mbs and I'm lucky to get 1Mbs.
I've even had as much as a week downtime because it took them that long to change an antenna and router at the main location. Also my company bought a new billing office in a location that we were promised they could give us service in. We thought it was fishy since it wasn't line of site, but they said it would work. Well after spending $130,000 on the building they say "can't do it" This was the best thing that could have happened, because instead we got SDSL. It's cheaper, faster, and more reliable than their crappy wireless service.
Basically, I think it could work, in the right hands. But with customer service like this and network management like this, I can't expect too much. If you decide you want to try this then besure you aren't contracted if you decide it isn't what you're looking for.
The Great Technology Messiah Speaks! (Score:2)
"The Internet" is verily a nice marketing buzzword, but it is not truely something thou canst sell. The Internet is a platform. Ye shepard! Heed mine words: Thou needest to sell applications. A lame wireless application that happens to useth The Internet is still lame. Doth thou really thinkest sinners shall payest $20/hour to playest cribbage?
Be thou realistic. Ye shepard! Heed mine words: Thy cannot browse the sacred web upon a screen that displays 20 characters at a time. Sinners who are set upon by 100 emails a day dare not read them upon a cell phone. If the tech hasn't caught unto with the app, do not plague us with the app.
Behold: the killer app may be something simple and low tech. In the great wide world, providers art makingest a smoting selling SMS messages at $0.20 each. In the Philipines, the humble users send 50 million SMS messages a day. This in a land with only 81 million sinners!
Stop treating thine customers like idiots. Forbear from selling them obsolete tech pasted upon with meaningless buzzwords. Yea, thy network is digital. Big deal.
__________________
Reasons why Wireless Internet is troublesome (Score:4)
factors (Score:2)
With the majority of users still connecting to the internet via phone lines and cable modems and DSL finally catching on, is it too soon to expect wireless systems to be successful in anything more than niche markets?
In my opinion, if you can answer these questions, you might have an answer.
A)How cheap
B)How useful
C)How well it works
D)How cool
Black on black violence etc. (Score:2)
Violence in places like the Balkans and Rwanda is not racial. The Serbs and friends are the same race: they have the same skin tone, speak the same language and wear the same clothes. Tutsi's and Hutu's are less similar, but still show fewer differences than, say, the Polish and English.
Your understanding of the origins of these conflicts is somewhat lacking. Historically the majority of violent acts have been perpetrated by one racial group against another very similar one, with the current spate of violence in the Congo (a continuation of the Rwanda ethnic violence in many ways) being just one example of similar racial groups embroiled in bitter conflict.
In a similar vein, black on black [sistahspace.com] violence in America has reached endemic levels, with such cases outstripping other kinds of violence. For some reason it seems as though people are more disposed to hate those that appear superficially similar but aren't actually the same than they do those that are markedly different.
Why as why (Score:3)
Simple economic principal. If the demand for a commodity is low, often a seemingly bargain price just won't drive demand.
Cel phones work because they are on demand service of a single media type: voice transmission. They are easy to use and moderately interfer with the ability to do other things (such as walk and chew bubble gum.)
As for wireless internet, it could be the same rate, or cheaper than at home, but won't appeal to as many people for the requirement of devoting effort and attention to a laptop or whatever. Saturation of the market happens with a small population, it doesn't mean the value isn't there, Iridium was a high value service, but not for Joe on the street.
Expect consolidation and slow growth. Best of luck.
--
Re:WTF?? (Score:3)
Maybe some people DO want it for their house. Where I live (just south of Houston), I can't get cablemodem access and I can't get DSL. I'm not holding my breath to see either of these - I live too far from the exchange, and I don't see the cable company ever putting in cablemodem access in before I leave. It wouldn't surprise me if more people are incapable of being DSL wired/cablemodemed than are capable at this moment in time.
If wireless broadband was in my area right now, it would be my only option. As it stands, living in the technological backwater that I do, I'm stuck with a 56k modem that only gets 42k on a good day.
There are three things holding back wireless 'net. (Score:2)
The slow-as-hell transfer speed (similar or less than that of a 33.6K modem)
The speckled coverage map (in the Northeast U.S., it's covered everywhere, but in the Midwest it has no chance at all)
The moronic companies marketing the devices (Novatel is by far the worst: their product names are "Merlin" (PCMCIA) and "Minstrel" (Palm V); come on, what's so magical about an ultra-slow connection that fails in certain regions?)
Large spaces, few people (Score:2)
Countries that are technologically strong, but dont'have the people-base that the United States has are good candidates for wireless ISPs. Take, for example, Australia. Australia's population is concentrated in a few major cities. With wireless, a company manager can take his laptop in essence to any other venue and know for sure that he will be connected. Without wireless and with the limited spread of LANs within cities such as Sydney this would not be possible.
Large universities in Australia are already taking advantage of wireless. Large campuses (they have the space over there in Australia) provide their students with wireless (take for example University of New South Wales [unsw.edu.au]. Acting like a wireless ISP, UNSW does not have to spread ethernet jacks around its many buildings for the limited number of people that use the service while on campus. This saves money for the school.
I'm interested. For those slashdotters that live in countries with large populations centered only in a few cities, how common are wireless ISPs?
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Re: (Score:2)